Le Centre pour l’étude de la citoyenneté démocratique, le Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en analyse des orgaisations (CIRANO) et Maison des affaires publiques et internationales présentent:

Political Economy Approaches to the Study of Population Aging and Climate Change
Moderateur : Olivier Jacques, 
Professeur adjoint, École de santé publique – Département de gestion, d’évaluation et de politique de santé, Université de Montréal

Quand : 4 avril, 2025, 13h – 16h30.
Ou:  Université de Montréal. salle 6420, 3744 Jean-Brillant, Montréal, Québec

Inscription obligatoire

 

Tim Vlandas (University of Oxford, Angleterre)
Ageing democracies and the new electoral politics of economic stagnation
Democracies have experienced profound population ageing in the last decades. Yet we still know little about the political consequences of ageing for economic performance. In this article, I develop a novel theoretical framework linking ageing to lower economic growth through two mechanisms: first, grey power pushes elected governments to expand old age policies thereby ‘crowding out’ more growth-enhancing policies; second, ageing populations weaken the electoral penalty for lower economic performance leading to ‘economic unaccountability’. Using microdata from four cross-national survey of preferences and vote choices, I show that elderly individuals care more about pensions, but less about education, childcare and family policies, and during elections they are less likely to penalize governments for low growth. Using macrodata on 21 advanced economies since the 1960s, OLS and instrumental variable regressions provide evidence that ageing leads to more spending on pensions policies but less on education, family, and childcare policies, as well as public investments, and lower growth. Ageing countries may paradoxically become economically inefficient because they are politically representative.
Björn Bremer (Central European University, Vienne, Autriche)
Taxing Uber Polluters? The Climate Crisis and Popular Support for Wealth Taxation
Carbon inequality implies that asset-rich individuals contribute considerably more to climate change than asset-poor individuals. Moreover, the perception of distributional fairness is the most important determinant of public support for climate policy. Researchers thus argue for progressive climate policy, putting an additional financial burden on those causing the most emissions. Yet, the only progressive policy researchers have systematically studied is a rebate for low-income households paying regressive carbon taxes. We broaden the field’s scope by estimating the causal effect of exposure to a carbon inequality frame on public support for wealth taxation. A factorial survey experiment with a representative sample of the population in Germany demonstrates that support for a wealth tax is high ex ante and that this is not further increased by the carbon inequality frame. However, the frame increases support for spending additional revenue on climate policies. Moreover, a conjoint survey experiment shows that progressive spending increases respondents’ support for climate policy packages.

Le Centre pour l¹étude de la Citoyenneté démocratique est financé par le Fonds de recherche du Québec – Société et culture (FRQSC).

Share This