Université de Montreal
Department of Political Science
Richard Nadeau

Université de Montreal
Department of Political Science
Address: Pav. PAV.M.CARON-L.GROULX-3200 J.B. \ bur. C4030
Tel: 514-343-6111 #54799
Email: richard.nadeau@umontreal.ca
Education
Richard Nadeau has an M.A. (1981) in Economics and a Ph.D. (1988) in Political Science from the Université de Montréal.
Research
Richard Nadeau is a Professor of Political Science at Université de Montréal. His research focuses on questions of voting behaviour, public opinion, economic voting, and political. Professor Nadeau has also carried out research that looks into the issues, images, and behaviour of political parties. He is also an Associate Researcher at CEVIPOF. Research Interests Economic Voting Issue Voting Political Communication Public opinion and political preferences Voter Turnout and Other Forms of Electoral Participation Research Axis Axis 2: Practicing Citizenship in a Skeptical World - The practice of democratic citizenship is undergoing a multifaceted transition. There are fundamental changes in conceptions of democratic citizenship and in its practice as well as the targets of citizen action. Scepticism about representative democracy as a system of governance is growing and citizens across established democracies are withdrawing from politics. Their perception about the political world is impacted by transformations in the news media practices and by online content, including social media. Voting and party politics have been the basis of conventional interpretations of citizenship, but there is ample evidence that this conception is much too limited. New forms of communication are providing citizens with novel ways to gather information and to engage in politics.Axis 3: Representing and Governing Citizens in Critical Times - After learning and practicing democratic citizenship, the next critical steps are representation and governance. Democratic institutions are key elements. They shape the norms and incentives for active citizenship and they link citizens and their representatives in ways that foster accountability, legitimacy and representation. In Québec and Canada, as well as in other countries, confidence of citizens toward the institutions is low, as many dislike the way that members of parliaments behave and consider that politicians don’t honour their promises, hence various political endeavours to reform these institutions. Research on this axis will focus on the role of electoral systems, parliaments, parliamentary debates, and political parties.
Students
theme Perceiving the Public World Linking Citizens and Democratic Institutions in a reform Debating Citizens choices: Parties and Parliaments
Publications
Anatomie du conservatisme américain
Journal: l'Annuaire du Québec 2007
Year: 2006 First Page: 416 Last Page: 421
Canada's Democratic Malaise : Are the Media to Blame ?
Journal: Strengthening Canadian Democracy
Year: 2005 First Page: 229 Last Page: 267
La victoire anticipée des travaillistes
Journal: Libération
Year: 2005
La bataille de l'image: avantage à Dumont et Charest
Journal: Le Devoir
Year: 2007
L'economie inspire-t-elle le vote?
Journal: La politique en questions, ouvrage collectif
Year: 2008 First Page: 84 Last Page: 92
Leadership Traits in French Election Studies:
Measurement Issues
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 8 Year: 2010 First Page: 215 Last Page: 221
Jusqu'où ira Obama ?
Journal: Policy Options
Volume: 29 issue: 3 Year: 2008 First Page: 25 Last Page: 27
Patrimonial Economic Voting: Legislative Elections in France
Journal: West European Politics
Volume: 33 issue: 6 Year: 2010 First Page: 1261 Last Page: 1277
Economics and Elections Revisited
Journal: Comparative Political Studies
Year: 2012 First Page: 1-23
Economic Voting Theory: Testing New Dimensions
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 30 issue: 2 Year: 2011 First Page: 288 Last Page: 294
Assets and Risk: A Neglected Dimension of Economic Voting
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 9 issue: 2 Year: 2011 First Page: 97 Last Page: 119
L'économie inspire-t-elle le vote?
Journal: La politique en questions
Year: 2008 First Page: 84 Last Page: 92 Place: Montréal Publisher: Presses de l'Université de Montréal
Un nouvel équilibre politique aux États-Unis
Journal: Le système politique américain (4e édition)
Year: 2008 First Page: 171 Last Page: 200 Place: Montréal Publisher: Presses de l¿Université de Montréal
Les élections européennes au Québec: un non-événement?
Journal: Les elections européennes de 2009
Year: 2010 Place: Paris Publisher: L'Harmattan
Leaders Images and the Presidential Vote in France
Journal: Personality in Politics? The Role of Leaders Evaluations in Democratic Elections
Year: 2010
Le modèle finlandais: des leçons pour le Québec ?
Journal: La Presse
issue: 1 Year: 2009 First Page: C5
Une responsabilité partagée. L'abstentionnisme est une tendance lourde mais pas une fatalité
Journal: La Presse
issue: 10 Year: 2008 First Page: A31
Un bon choix stratégique. L'Économie surtout, mais la santé
aussi, favorisent le Parti libéral lors de ces élections
Journal: La Presse
issue: 20 Year: 2008 First Page: A29
L'erreur de Stéphane Dion. Le chef du PLC a commis l'erreur de se définir comme un progressiste plutôt que comme un centriste
Journal: La Presse
issue: 16 Year: 2008 First Page: A35
Avantage décisif pour Harper. Les Canadiens croient que les conservateurs sont plus compétents pour s'occuper de l'économie
Journal: La Presse
issue: 23 Year: 2008 First Page: A27
Dumont va passer un tour. Menacé de subir une dure défaite,
l'ADQ n'a aucun intérêt à défaire le gouvernement sur le budget
Journal: La Presse
issue: 11 Year: 2008 First Page: A25
Electoral Forecasting in France: A Multi-Equation Solution
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Volume: 26 issue: 1 Year: 2010 First Page: 11 Last Page: 18
Election Forecasting in the United Kingdom: A Two-Step Model
Journal: Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties
Volume: 19 issue: 3 Year: 2009 First Page: 333 Last Page: 358
French Presidential Elections
Year: 2012 Place: Basingstoke Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Le vote des Français de Mitterrand à Sarkozy
Year: 2012 Place: Paris Publisher: Presses de Sciences Po
Comment expliquer la vague orange du 2 mai au Québec?
Journal: L'état du Québec 2012
Year: 2012 First Page: 119 Last Page: 125 Place: Montreal Publisher: Boréal
Quebec versus the Rest of Canada, 1965-2006
Journal: The Canadian Election Studies: Assessing Four Decades of Influence
Year: 2012 First Page: 136 Last Page: 153 Place: Vancouver Publisher: University of British Columbia Press
Proxy Models for Election Forecasting: The 2012 French Test
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 10 issue: 1 Year: 2012 First Page: 1 Last Page: 10
Issue-Based Strategies in Election Campaigns: The Case of Health Care in the 2000 Canadian Federal Election
Journal: Political Communication
Volume: 27 issue: 4 Year: 2010 First Page: 367 Last Page: 388
Le comportement électoral aux États-Unis
Journal: Le système politique américain
Year: 2013 Place: Montreal Publisher: Presses de l'Université de Montréal
Les élections? Quelles élections? Une analyse de la couverture médiatique des élections européennes dans la presse québécoise
Journal: La communication politique européenne sans l'Europe: Les élections au Parlement européen de 2009
Year: 2012 First Page: 191 Last Page: 202 Place: Paris Publisher: L'Harmattan
Economics and Elections Revisited
Journal: Comparative Political Studies
Year: 2012
Leader images in forecasting: Sarkozy partly overcomes his record
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 20 issue: 4 Year: 2012 First Page: 369 Last Page: 372
Leaders' Images and Electoral Forecasting in French Presidential Election
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 10 issue: 1 Year: 2012 First Page: 11 Last Page: 21
Does a Presidential Candidate's Campaign Affect the Election Outcome
Journal: Foresight
Year: 2012 First Page: 15 Last Page: 19
After the US Midterms: A Whole New Political Ballgame
Journal: Policy Options/Options politiques
Volume: 27 issue: 10 Year: 2006 First Page: 67 Last Page: 71
La victoire de George W. Bush n'annonce pas une mainmise républicaine sur la Maison Blanche
Journal: Policy Options/Options politiques
Volume: 26 issue: 1 Year: 2005 First Page: 43 Last Page: 47
The Bloc Québécois: A Sour-Tasting Victory
Journal: The Canadian Federal Election of 2006
Year: 2006 First Page: 122 Last Page: 142
Political Trust and the Vote in Multiparty Elections: The Canadian Case
Journal: European Journal of Political Research
Volume: 44 issue: 1 Year: 2005 First Page: 121 Last Page: 146
Débats télévisés et évaluations des candidats: la représentation visuelle des politiciens canadiens agit-elle dans la formation des préférences de l'électorat québécois?
Journal: Revue canadienne de science politique/Canadian Journal of Political Science
Volume: 38 issue: 4 Year: 2005 First Page: 867 Last Page: 895
La montee des tiers partis au Quebec a l'election de 2007: conjuncture ou tendance?
Journal: IRPP Choices
Volume: 14 issue: 17 Year: 2008 First Page: 1 Last Page: 36
Un nouvel equilibre politique aux Etats-Unis
Journal: Le systeme politique americain
Year: 2008 First Page: 171 Last Page: 200
Forecasting the Vote for a Third Party: The British Liberals, 1974-2005
Journal: British Journal of Politics and International Relations
Volume: 12 issue: 4 Year: 2010 First Page: 634 Last Page: 643
Third-Party Support in Canadian Elections: The Role of the Economy.
Journal: Voting Behaviour in Canada
Year: 2010 First Page: 163 Last Page: 182 Place: Vancouver Publisher: UBC Press
The Bloc Québécois: Victory by Default
Journal: The Canadian Federal Election of 2008
Year: 2009 First Page: 136 Last Page: 161 Place: Toronto Publisher: Dundurn
Le comportement électoral des Québécois
Year: 2009 Place: Montréal Publisher: Presses de l'Université de Montréal
Changements et continuités dans le comportement électoral
des Québécois
Journal: l'État du Québec 2010
Year: 2010 First Page: 253 Last Page: 257 Place: Montréal Publisher: Fides
Des défis simultanés. La reconstruction des
infrastructures en Haïti passe par la consolidation de la démocratie
Journal: La Presse
issue: 30 Year: 2010 First Page: 6
Obama and the Economy in 2008
Journal: PS: Political Science and Politics
Volume: 42 issue: 3 Year: 2009 First Page: 479 Last Page: 483
L'électeur québécois et les partis
Journal: Les partis politiques québécois dans la tourmente: mieux comprendre et évaluer leur rôle
Year: 2012 First Page: 169 Last Page: 193 Place: Québec Publisher: Presses de l'Université Laval
The Bloc Québécois: Capsized by the Orange Wave
Journal: The Canadian Federal Election of 2011
Year: 2011 First Page: 111 Last Page: 137 Place: Toronto Publisher: Dundurn PRess
Continuité et changement dans le vote des Québécois
Journal: L'état du Québec 2010
Year: 2010 First Page: 253 Last Page: 257 Place: Montreal Publisher: Boréal
Nowcasting V. Polling: The 2010 UK Election Trials
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 30 issue: 2 Year: 2011 First Page: 284 Last Page: 287
Citizens
Journal: Auditing Canadian Democracy
Year: 2010 Place: Vancouver Publisher: UBC Press
Forecasting the 2012 French presidential election
Journal: PS: Political Science and Politics
Volume: 45 issue: 2 Year: 2012 First Page: 218 Last Page: 222
The Compleat Economic Voter: New Theory and British Evidence
Journal: British Journal of Political Science
Year: 2012 First Page: 1 Last Page: 21
La persistance de l'effet patrimoine lors des élections présidentielles françaises
Journal: Revue française de science politique
Volume: 61 issue: 4 Year: 2011 First Page: 659 Last Page: 680
Virage à gauche en France
Journal: Le Devoir
Year: 2012 Place: Montreal
Comment la sociologie électorale prédit une victoire serrée de François Hollande?
Journal: Les Echos (Cercle)
Year: 2012 Place: Paris
Third Party Support in Canadian Federal and Provincial Elections
Journal: Canadian Voting Behaviour
Year: 2010 First Page: 163 Last Page: 182 Place: Vancouver Publisher: UBC Press
French Election Theory: Why Sarkozy Lost
Journal: Parliamentary Affairs
Volume: 66 issue: 1 Year: 2013 First Page: 52 Last Page: 68
Obama and 2012: Still a Racial Cost to Pay?
Journal: PS: Political Science and Politics
Volume: 45 issue: 4 Year: 2012 First Page: 591 Last Page: 595
PIGS or Not? Economic Voting in Southern Europe
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 31 issue: 3 Year: 2012 First Page: 472 Last Page: 477
Economic Voting: Diversity and Value of Wealth
Journal: Electoral Studies
Year: 2012
A Political Economy Forecast for the 2005 British General Election
Journal: British Journal of Politics and International Relations
Volume: 7 issue: 2 Year: 2005 First Page: 191 Last Page: 198
French Electoral Reform and the Abstention Rate
Journal: Parliamentary Affairs
Volume: 64 issue: 1 Year: 2011 First Page: 45 Last Page: 60
Obama's Landslide Denied: A Racial Cost?
Journal: PS: Political Science and Politics
Volume: 43 issue: 1 Year: 2010 First Page: 69 Last Page: 76
Choosing the Dependent Variable: Sarkozy's Forecasting Lessons
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 10 issue: 4 Year: 2012 First Page: 364 Last Page: 368
A Socio-economic Status and Non-Voting: A Cross-National Comparative Analysis
Journal: The Comparative Study of Electoral Systems
Year: 2009
La communication électorale
Journal: La communication politique : état des savoirs, enjeux et perspectives
Year: 2003 Richard Nadeau Place: Montréal
La persistence de l'effet patrimoine lors des elections présidentielles françaises
Journal: Revue française de science politique
Volume: 61 issue: 4 Year: 2011
Leader Effects and Leader Characteristics
Journal: Political Leaders and Democratic Elections
Year: 2011 Neil Nevitte Place: Oxford Publisher: Oxford University Press
The Chávez Vote and the National Economy in Venezuela
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 32 issue: 3 Year: 2013 First Page: 482 Last Page: 488 Thomas Didier
Election campaigns as Information Campaigns: Who Learns What and Does it Matter?
Journal: Political Communication
Volume: 25 issue: 3 Year: 2008 First Page: 229 Last Page: 248 Neil Nevitte
The Austrian Voter
Year: 2013 Michael Lewis-Beck Sylvia Kritzinger Eva Zeglovits Place: Vienna
Un modèle d’explication du vote des Québécois
Journal: Les Québécois aux urnes,
Year: 2013 First Page: 191 Last Page: 207 Place: Montréal
Scope Conditions of Economic Voting: The Danish Exception?
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 34 Year: 2014 First Page: 16 Last Page: 26 Michael S. Lewis-Beck Niels W. Botteril,
Patrimonial Voting: Refining the Measures
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 32 Year: 2013 First Page: 557 Last Page: 562 Martial Foucault Michael S. Lewis-Beck
The Kramer Problem: Micro-Macro Solution Resolution with a Danish Pool
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 32 Year: 2013 First Page: 500 Last Page: 505 Michael Lewis-Beck Rune Stubager
Economics and Elections Revisited
Journal: Comparative Political Studies
Volume: 46 issue: 5 Year: 2013 First Page: 551 Last Page: 573 Michael S. Lewis-Beck
La montée des tiers partis au Québec à l’élection de 2007: conjoncture ou tendance?
Journal: Choix IRPP
Volume: 14 issue: 17 Year: 2008 First Page: 1 Last Page: 36
Qui vote pour qui?
Journal: L’état du Québec 2013-2014
Year: 2013 First Page: 143 Last Page: 147 Place: Montréal Publisher: Boréal
La dynamique électorale
Journal: Le système politique américain, 5th edition
Year: 2013 First Page: 229 Last Page: 265 Place: Montréal Publisher: Presses UdM
Health Care Policy and Opinion in the United States and Canada
Year: 2015 Stuart Soroka Antonia Maioni Place: New York Publisher: Routledge
Patrimony and French presidential vote choice: Evidence from the 2012 election
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 12 issue: 1 Year: 2014 First Page: 59 Last Page: 68 Mathieu Turgeon Michael S Lewis-Beck Martial Foucault
"The Influence Of Money In Politics"
Year: 2013 Martial Foucault Place: Victoria Conference Name: Canadian Political Science Association Meeting,
Cross-border Perceptions of US and Canadian Health Care Systems.”
Year: 2012 Stuart Soroka Antonia Maioni Place: Madrid Conference Name: Congress of the International Political Science Association
“Strategic Issue Framing in Election Campaigns: The Case of Healthcare in the 2000 Canadian Federal Election.”
Year: 2008 Place: Boston Conference Name: Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association.
Citizens
Year: 2004 Neil Nevitte Place: Vancouver Publisher: UBC Press
Anatomy of A Liberal Victory: Making Sense of the 2000 Canadian Election
Year: 2002 Neil Nevitte Place: Peterboroug Publisher: Broadview P
The Confidence Gap: Income Divergence and Political Attitude in Canada
Journal: Canadian Public Policy
Year: 2016 Andrea Perrella Martial Foucault
Does a Growing Income Gap Affect Political Attitudes?
Journal: Canadian Public Policy
Volume: 42 issue: 1 Year: 2016 Andrea Perrella Martial Foucault
The British General Election: Synthetic Forecasts
Journal: Electoral Studies
Volume: 41 Year: 2016 First Page: 264 Last Page: 268 Michael Lewis-Beck
Issue Ownership of the Economy: Cross-Time Effects on Vote Choice
Journal: West European Politics
Volume: 38 issue: 4 Year: 2015 First Page: 909 Last Page: 932
Economic Crisis, Party Competence and the Economic Vote
Journal: Acta Politica
Volume: 49 issue: 4 Year: 2014 First Page: 462 Last Page: 485
Villes de droite, Villes de gauche
Year: 2016 Martial Foucault Bruno Jerome Veronique Jérôme-Speziairi
The French Electorate
Journal: Oxford Handbook of French Politics
Year: 2016 Michael S. Lewis-Beck Editors: R Elgie
Political Campaigning
Journal: Canadian Parties in Transition: Recent Evolution and New Paths for Research, 4th edition
Year: 2016
The Bloc Québécois in a Rainbow-Coloured Quebec
Journal: The Canadian Federal Election of 2015
Year: 2016
The Rainbow Wave in Quebec
Journal: The Canadian Federal Election of 2011
Year: 2016
The Economy and Federal Election Outcomes in Canada: Taking Provincial Economic Conditions into Account
Journal: Duty and Choice : Participation and Preferences in Democratic Elections
Year: 2015 Jerome Bruno
Between Leadership and Charisma, the Importance of Leaders
Journal: Personality in Politics? The Role of Leaders Evaluations in Democratic Elections,
Year: 2015 Michael Lewis-Beck. Publisher: Oxford University Press
The Danish Voter, 1979-2015
Year: 2015 Kasper Hansen Rune Stubager Michael Lewis-Beck
Quebec-Scotland: The National Issue in Substate Politic
Year: 2015 Eve Hepburn Ailsa Henderson Publisher: Oxford University Press
Explaining French Elections: The Presidential Pivot
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 13 issue: 1 Year: 2015 First Page: 25 Last Page: 62 Michael Lewis-Beck
Forecasting Partisan Dynamics in France and Euroland
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 13 issue: 1 Year: 2015 First Page: 103 Last Page: 109 Bruno Jerôme Véronique Jerôme-Speziari Michael Lewis-Beck
French Popularity Functions: Different Measures, Different Determinants?
Journal: French Politics
Volume: 13 issue: 3 Year: 2015 First Page: 266 Last Page: 286 Mathieu Turgeon
Rendicion de Cuentas en las democratias en desarollo: El votante Latinoamericao (Economic Accountability in Low-Income Democracies: The Latin American Voter)
Journal: La Revista de Ciencia Politica
Volume: 35 issue: 3 Year: 2015 First Page: 463 Last Page: 488 María Celeste Ratto Michael Lewis-Beck Mathieu Turgeon
Economía y elecciones en Argentina: las dimensiones clásica (valence), posicional y patrimonial de la teoría del Voto Económico
Journal: Revista Sociedad Argentina de Analisis Politico
Volume: 7 issue: 1 Year: 2015 First Page: 199 Last Page: 201 María Celeste Ratto Michael Lewis-Beck Mathieu Turgeon
Record, Reputation and Economic Voting
Journal: West European Politics
Year: 2015
Elecciones latinoamericanas: selección y cambio de voto
Year: 2019 First Page: 1 Last Page: 270 Michael S. Lewis-Beck Mathieu Turgeon María Celeste Ratto Place: Brussels Publisher: Peter Lang
Villes de droite, villes de gauche
Year: 2018 Martial Foucault Bruno Jérôme Véronique Jérôme-Speziari Place: Paris Publisher: Presses de Sciences Po
The National Question and Electoral Politics in Quebec and Scotland
Year: 2017 Ailsa Henderson Eve Hepburn Place: Montréal Publisher: Montreal & Kingston: McGill-Queen’s University Press
Canadians' Belief and Call for Action on Climate Change
Year: 2016 Valérie-Anne Mahéo Le-Luel
Between Leaders and Charisma, the Importance of Leaders
Journal: Personality in Politics? The Role of Leaders Evaluations in Democratic Elections
Year: 2014 First Page: 169 Last Page: 190 Michael S. Lewis-Beck Place: Oxford Publisher: Oxford University Press
Explaining French Elections: The need to meet in the middle
Journal: Oxford Handbook of French Politics
Year: 2016 Michael S. Lewis-Beck Place: Oxford Publisher: Oxford University Press
The Economy and Federal Election Outcomes in Canada: Taking Provincial Economic Conditions into Account
Journal: Duty and Choice : Participation and Preferences in Democratic Elections
Year: 2019 Jérôme B Place: Toronto Publisher: University of Toronto Press
The market, the state and satisfaction with democracy
Journal: West European Politics
Year: 2019 Jean-François Daoust Vincent Arel-Bundock
Emotions, Cognitions and Moderation: Understanding Losers’ Consent in the 2016 Brexit Referendum
Journal: Journal of Elections and Public Opinion Research
Year: 2019 Lewis-Beck Michael Mongrain Philippe
Are Election Results More Unpredictable? A Forecasting Test
Journal: Political Science Research and Methods
Year: 2019 Lewis-Beck Michael Mongrain Philippe
Satisfaction with Democracy and the American Dream
Journal: Journal of Politics
Year: 2019 Daoust Jean-François Arel-Bundock Vincent
Patrimony and Participation: Across 28 Countries
Journal: Polity
Year: 2019 Lewis-Beck Michael Foucault Martial
Democratic Legitimacy and Regional Representation: Upper Chamber Reform in Quebec and Scotland
Journal: Parliamentary Affairs
Year: 2019 Medeiros Mike Bol Damien
Patrimony, Class, and Participation: French Elections (1988-2012)
Journal: French Politics
Year: 2017 Lewis-Beck Michael Foucault Martial Jérôme Bruno
The Confidence Gap: Income Divergence and Political Attitude in Canada
Journal: Canadian Public Policy
Year: 2016 Perrella Andréa Foucault Martial
The Danish Voter : Democratic Ideals and Challenges
Year: 2019 Rune Stubager Kasper Moller Hansen Michael Lewis-Beck Place: Ann Arbor Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Framing the Victory : How the Leave Option Won the Brexit Referendum
Year: 2019 Ece Atikcan Place: Montréal Publisher: McGill-Queen's University Press
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